Arbeitspapier

Political Cycles : The Opposition Advantage

We propose a two dimensional infinite horizon model of public consumption in which investments are decided by a winner-take-all election. Investments in the two public goods create a linkage across periods and parties have different specialities. We show that the incumbent party vote share decreases the longer it stays in power. Parties chances of winning do not converge and, when the median voter is moderate enough, no party can maintain itself in power for ever. Finally, the more parties are specialized and the more public policies have long-term effects, the more political cycles are likely to occur.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Nota di Lavoro ; No. 129.2005

Classification
Wirtschaft
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Public Goods
Noncooperative Games
Subject
Cycles
Alternation
Public goods
Advantage
Opposition
Politischer Konjunkturzyklus
Öffentliches Gut
Median Voter
Öffentlicher Konsum
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Gautier, Pascal
Soubeyran, Raphael
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)
(where)
Milano
(when)
2005

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Gautier, Pascal
  • Soubeyran, Raphael
  • Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)

Time of origin

  • 2005

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