Arbeitspapier

Construction of composite business cycle indicators in a sparse data environment

Business cycle indicators are important instruments for monitoring economic development. When employing indicators one usually relies on a sound statistical database. This paper deals with indicator development in a sparse data situation. Indicator building is merged with temporal disaggregation, which is often used by statistical offices. The discussed tools are applied in a case study for Abu Dhabi. Because the economy of Abu Dhabi is very dependent on oil, real income reflects the economic situation better than real gross domestic product (GDP). For this reason a measure of real gross domestic income (GDI) was chosen as reference series.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3557

Classification
Wirtschaft
Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Subject
business cycle indicators
temporal disaggregation
terms of trade
oil-producing countries
Konjunkturindikator
Aggregation
Mineralölwirtschaft
Einkommen
Terms of Trade
Vereinigte Arabische Emirate

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Abberger, Klaus
Nierhaus, Wolfgang
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Abberger, Klaus
  • Nierhaus, Wolfgang
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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