Arbeitspapier

The Ifo business cycle clock: Circular correlation with the real GDP

The Ifo Business Climate is the most important indicator for the business cycle in Germany. In 1993 the connection between the two components of the business climate - business situation and business expectations - was graphically portrayed by Ifo in a 4-quadrant scheme: the Ifo Business Cycle Clock. Today similar monitoring systems are firmly established and are presented by Eurostat, the OECD and others. The German Federal Statistical Office presents the real GDP in a 4-quadrant scheme. In the following, important qualities of the Ifo Business Cycle Clock are shown. The importance of orthogonal functions for the circular correlation is examined.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3179

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables: Other
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Thema
Ifo business climate
growth cycle
circular correlation
linear-circular correlation
temporal disaggregation
Geschäftsklima
Konjunktur
Sozialprodukt
Deutschland

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Abberger, Klaus
Nierhaus, Wolfgang
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Abberger, Klaus
  • Nierhaus, Wolfgang
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2010

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