The Ifo business cycle clock: Circular correlation with the real GDP

Arbeitspapier

The Ifo Business Climate is the most important indicator for the business cycle in Germany. In 1993 the connection between the two components of the business climate - business situation and business expectations - was graphically portrayed by Ifo in a 4-quadrant scheme: the Ifo Business Cycle Clock. Today similar monitoring systems are firmly established and are presented by Eurostat, the OECD and others. The German Federal Statistical Office presents the real GDP in a 4-quadrant scheme. In the following, important qualities of the Ifo Business Cycle Clock are shown. The importance of orthogonal functions for the circular correlation is examined.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3179

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Business Fluctuations; Cycles ; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models ; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables: Other ; Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
• Subject: Ifo business climate ; growth cycle ; circular correlation ; linear-circular correlation ; temporal disaggregation ; Geschäftsklima ; Konjunktur ; Sozialprodukt ; Deutschland

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Abberger, Klaus ; Nierhaus, Wolfgang
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
• (where): Munich
• (when): 2010

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/46315
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET