Arbeitspapier

Uncertain costs and vertical differentiation in an insurance duopoly

Classical oligopoly models predict that firms differentiate vertically as a way of softening price competition, but some metrics suggest very little quality differentiation in the U.S. auto insurance market. I explain this phenomenon using the fact that risk-averse insurance companies with uncertain costs face incentives to converge to a homogeneous quality. Quality changes are capable of boosting as well as reducing profits, since quality differentiation softens price competition, but also undermines the lower-end firm's ability to charge the markup commanded by risk aversion. This can make differentiation suboptimal, leading to a homogeneous quality; the outcome depends on consumers' quality tastes and on how costly quality is. Additional trade-offs between quality costs, profits and profit variances compound this effect, resulting in equilibria at very low quality levels. I argue that this provides one explanation of how insurer competition drove quality down in the nineteenth-century U.S. market for fire insurance.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2014-14

Classification
Wirtschaft
Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
Market Structure, Pricing, and Design: Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
Firm Organization and Market Structure
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Subject
Market structure and pricing
Economic models

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Raykov, Radoslav S.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2014

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2014-14
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Raykov, Radoslav S.
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2014

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