Arbeitspapier

Quadratic shrinkage for large covariance matrices

This paper constructs a new estimator for large covariance matrices by drawing a bridge between the classic Stein (1975) estimator in finite samples and recent progress under large-dimensional asymptotics. Our formula is quadratic: it has two shrinkage targets weighted by quadratic functions of the concentration ratio (matrix dimension divided by sample size, a standard measure of the curse of dimensionality). The first target dominates mid-level concentrations and the second one higher levels. This extra degree of freedom enables us to outperform linear shrinkage when optimal shrinkage is not linear (which is the general case). Both of our targets are based on what we term the "Stein shrinker", a local attraction operator that pulls sample covariance matrix eigenvalues towards their nearest neighbors, but whose force diminishes with distance, like gravitation. We prove that no cubic or higher- order nonlinearities beat quadratic with respect to Frobenius loss under large-dimensional asymptotics. Non-normality and the case where the matrix dimension exceeds the sample size are accommodated. Monte Carlo simulations confirm state-of-the-art performance in terms of accuracy, speed, and scalability.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 335

Classification
Wirtschaft
Estimation: General
Subject
inverse shrinkage
Hilbert transform
large-dimensional asymptotics
signal amplitude
Stein shrinkage

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ledoit, Olivier
Wolf, Michael
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Zurich, Department of Economics
(where)
Zurich
(when)
2019

DOI
doi:10.5167/uzh-176887
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ledoit, Olivier
  • Wolf, Michael
  • University of Zurich, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2019

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