Arbeitspapier

In and Out of Equilibrium: Evolution of Strategies in Repeated Games with Discounting

Repeated games tend to have large sets of equilibria. We also know that in the repeated prisoners dilemma there is a profusion of neutrally stable strategies, but no strategy that is evolutionarily stable. This paper shows that for all of these neutrally stable strategies there is a stepping stone path out; there is always a neutral mutant that can enter a population and create an actual selective advantage for a second mutant. Such stepping stone paths out of equilibrium generally exist both in the direction of more and in the direction of less cooperation. While the central theorems show that such paths out of equilibrium exist, they could still be rare compared to the size of the strategy space. Simulations however suggest that they are not too rare to be found by a reasonable mutation process, and that typical simulation paths take the population from equilibrium to equilibrium through a series of indirect invasions. Instability does not mean we cannot draw qualitative conclusions though. The very nature of the indirect invasions implies that the population will on average be (somewhat) reciprocal and (reasonably) cooperative.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 10-037/1

Classification
Wirtschaft
Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games; Repeated Games
Subject
Repeated games
evolution
robust against indirect invasions
simulation
Wiederholte Spiele
Gefangenendilemma
Evolutionäre Spieltheorie
Simulation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
van Veelen, Matthijs
Garcia, Julian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Tinbergen Institute
(where)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • van Veelen, Matthijs
  • Garcia, Julian
  • Tinbergen Institute

Time of origin

  • 2010

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