Arbeitspapier
Errors in Judicial Decisions
In criminal cases the task of the judge is to transform the uncertainty about the facts into the certainty of the verdict. In this experiment we examine the relationship between evidence of which the strength is known, subjective probability of guilt and verdict for abstract cases. We look at two situations: (1) all evidence is given and (2) evidence can be acquired. Roughly half of the participants do not base their decision on a subjective belief of the probability of guilt. The others underestimate in general the probability of guilt, but this is more than compensated by a tendency to convict at too low probability of guilt. In the situation where evidence can be acquired, participants do not acquire enough evidence.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 08-089/1
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
- Thema
-
Decision under uncertainty
judicial decisions
experiment
Kriminalität
Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit
Straftäter
Test
Theorie
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Sonnemans, Joep
van Dijk, Frans
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Tinbergen Institute
- (wo)
-
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
- (wann)
-
2008
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Sonnemans, Joep
- van Dijk, Frans
- Tinbergen Institute
Entstanden
- 2008
Ähnliche Objekte (12)
Why do Policy Makers stick to Inefficient Decisions?
Nonparametric Regression with Serially Correlated Errors
On the Optimality of Decisions
Social Preferences in Private Decisions
Do Elections lead to Informed Public Decisions?
Judicial Error by Groups and Individuals
Spillovers in Childbearing Decisions and Fertility Transitions: Evidence from China
Liability sharing as a mechanism to improve firms'investment and liquidation decisions
Vector Autoregressions with Dynamic Factor Coefficients and Conditionally Heteroskedastic Errors
Bayesian Forecasting of Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions
On the Variation of Hedging Decisions in Daily Currency Risk Management
To join or not to join? The impact of social interactions on local participation decisions
Why do Policy Makers stick to Inefficient Decisions?
Nonparametric Regression with Serially Correlated Errors
On the Optimality of Decisions
Social Preferences in Private Decisions
Do Elections lead to Informed Public Decisions?
Judicial Error by Groups and Individuals
Spillovers in Childbearing Decisions and Fertility Transitions: Evidence from China
Liability sharing as a mechanism to improve firms'investment and liquidation decisions
Vector Autoregressions with Dynamic Factor Coefficients and Conditionally Heteroskedastic Errors
Bayesian Forecasting of Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions
On the Variation of Hedging Decisions in Daily Currency Risk Management
To join or not to join? The impact of social interactions on local participation decisions
Why do Policy Makers stick to Inefficient Decisions?
Nonparametric Regression with Serially Correlated Errors
On the Optimality of Decisions
Social Preferences in Private Decisions
Do Elections lead to Informed Public Decisions?
Judicial Error by Groups and Individuals
Spillovers in Childbearing Decisions and Fertility Transitions: Evidence from China
Liability sharing as a mechanism to improve firms'investment and liquidation decisions
Vector Autoregressions with Dynamic Factor Coefficients and Conditionally Heteroskedastic Errors
Bayesian Forecasting of Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions
On the Variation of Hedging Decisions in Daily Currency Risk Management