Arbeitspapier

Politics and IMF conditionality

Bailouts sponsored by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are famous for their conditionality: in return for continued installments of desperately needed loans, governments must comply with austere policy changes. Many have suggested, however, that politically important countries face rather weak stringency. Obstacles to testing this hypothesis include finding a measure of political importance that is not plagued by endogeneity and obtaining data on IMF conditionality. We propose to measure political importance using temporary membership on the United Nations Security Council and analyze a newly available dataset on the level of conditionality attached to (a maximum of) 314 IMF arrangements with 101 countries over the 1992 to 2008 period. We find a negative relationship: Security Council members receive about 30 percent fewer conditions. This suggests that the major shareholders of the IMF trade softer conditionality in return for political influence over the Security Council.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: KOF Working Papers ; No. 338

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Foreign Aid
Subject
IMF
UN Security Council
Voting
Aid
Conditionality
IWF-Kredit
Internationale Wirtschaftsorganisation
Mitgliedschaft
Länderrisiko
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Dreher, Axel
Sturm, Jan-Egbert
Vreeland, James Raymond
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ETH Zurich, KOF Swiss Economic Institute
(where)
Zurich
(when)
2013

DOI
doi:10.3929/ethz-a-009899619
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Dreher, Axel
  • Sturm, Jan-Egbert
  • Vreeland, James Raymond
  • ETH Zurich, KOF Swiss Economic Institute

Time of origin

  • 2013

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