Arbeitspapier
Monetary policy rules: model uncertainty meets design limits
Optimal monetary policy studies typically rely on a single structural model and identification of model-specific rules that minimize the unconditional volatilities of inflation and real activity. In our proposed approach, we take a large set of structural models and look for the model-robust rules that minimize the volatilities at those frequencies that policymakers are most interested in stabilizing. Compared to the status quo approach, our results suggest that policymakers should be more restrained in their inflation responses when their aim is to stabilize inflation and output growth at specific frequencies. Additional caution is called for due to model uncertainty.
- ISBN
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978-952-323-445-1
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 12/2023
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics: Other
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
- Thema
-
monetary policy rules
policy evaluation
model comparison
model uncertainty
frequency domain
design limits
DSGE models
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Dück, Alexander
Verona, Fabio
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Bank of Finland
- (wo)
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Helsinki
- (wann)
-
2023
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Dück, Alexander
- Verona, Fabio
- Bank of Finland
Entstanden
- 2023