Arbeitspapier

Monetary policy rules: model uncertainty meets design limits

Optimal monetary policy studies typically rely on a single structural model and identification of model-specific rules that minimize the unconditional volatilities of inflation and real activity. In our proposed approach, we take a large set of structural models and look for the model-robust rules that minimize the volatilities at those frequencies that policymakers are most interested in stabilizing. Compared to the status quo approach, our results suggest that policymakers should be more restrained in their inflation responses when their aim is to stabilize inflation and output growth at specific frequencies. Additional caution is called for due to model uncertainty.

ISBN
978-952-323-445-1
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 12/2023

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics: Other
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Thema
monetary policy rules
policy evaluation
model comparison
model uncertainty
frequency domain
design limits
DSGE models

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Dück, Alexander
Verona, Fabio
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2023

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Dück, Alexander
  • Verona, Fabio
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2023

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