Arbeitspapier
Inflationary household uncertainty shocks
I construct a novel measure of household uncertainty based on survey data for European countries. I show that household uncertainty shocks are not universally like negative demand shocks. Notably, household uncertainty shocks are largely inflationary in Europe. These results lend support to a pricing bias mechanism as an important transmission channel. A comparison of results across countries suggest that demographics and factors related to average markups along with monetary policy play a role in the transmission of household uncertainty to inflation. I develop an Overlapping Generations New Keynesian model with Deep Habits to rationalize these results.
- ISBN
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978-952-323-324-9
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 5/2020
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Expectations; Speculations
Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Macro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on the Macro Economy‡
- Thema
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uncertainty
inflation
household expectations
deep habits
demographics
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Ambrocio, Gene
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Bank of Finland
- (wo)
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Helsinki
- (wann)
-
2020
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Ambrocio, Gene
- Bank of Finland
Entstanden
- 2020