Arbeitspapier

A new approach to modeling decision-making under uncertainty and defining subjective probabilities

This paper presents axiomatic models of decision making under uncertainty that avoid the use of a state space. The models are (a) general subjective expected utility theory with action-dependent subjective probabilities and effect-dependent utilities (the cases of effect-independent preferences and effect-independent valuations are obtained as special instances) and (b) a nonexpected utility theory involving well-defined families of action-dependent subjective probabilities on effects and utility representation that is not necessarily linear in these probabilities (a probabilistic sophistication version of this model, with action-dependent subjective probabilities is obtained as a special case)

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 519

Classification
Wirtschaft
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Economics of Contract: Theory
Subject
Expected utility with action-dependent subjective probabilities and effect-dependent utility
probabilistically sophisticated choice
Erwartungsnutzen
Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Karni, Edi
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Johns Hopkins University, Department of Economics
(where)
Baltimore, MD
(when)
2005

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Karni, Edi
  • The Johns Hopkins University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2005

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