Arbeitspapier

Unawareness, Beliefs and Games

We define a generalized state-space model with interactive unawareness and probabilistic beliefs. Such models are desirable for many potential applications of asymmetric unawareness. We develop Bayesian games with unawareness, define equilibrium, and prove existence. We show how equilibria are extended naturally from lower to higher awareness levels and restricted from higher to lower awareness levels. We use our unawareness belief structure to show that the common prior assumption is too weak to rule out speculative trade in all states. Yet, we prove a generalized ``No-trade'' theorem according to which there can not be common certainty of strict preference to trade. Moreover, we show a generalization of the ``No-agreeing-to-disagree'' theorem.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bonn Econ Discussion Papers ; No. 6/2007

Classification
Wirtschaft
Noncooperative Games
Game Theory and Bargaining Theory: General
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty: General
Subject
unawareness
awareness
type-space
Bayesian games
incomplete information
equilibrium
common prior
agreement
speculative trade
Erkenntnistheorie
Wahrnehmung
Wissen
Information
Wertpapierspekulation
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Heifetz, Aviad
Meier, Martin
Schipper, Burkhard C.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2007

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Heifetz, Aviad
  • Meier, Martin
  • Schipper, Burkhard C.
  • University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE)

Time of origin

  • 2007

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