Arbeitspapier

A statistical programme assignment model

When treatment effects of active labour market programmes are heterogeneous in an observable way across the population, the allocation of the unemployed into different programmes becomes a particularly important issue. In this paper, we present a statistical model designed to improve the present assignment mechanism, which is based on the discretionary choice of case workers. This is done in a duration model context, using the timing-of-events framework to identify causal effects. We compare different assignment mechanisms, and the results suggest that a significant reduction in the average duration of unemployment spells may result if a statistical programme assignment model is introduced. We discuss several issues regarding the implementation of such a system, especially the interplay between the statistical model and case workers.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 3165

Classification
Wirtschaft
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Subject
Profiling
targeting
statistical treatment rules
heterogeneous effects
Statistische Methode
Ökonometrisches Modell
Arbeitsmarktpolitik
Arbeitsvermittlung
Persönlichkeitspsychologie
Matching
Dänemark

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Staghøi, Jonas
Svarer, Michael
Rosholm, Michael
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2007

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Staghøi, Jonas
  • Svarer, Michael
  • Rosholm, Michael
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2007

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