What makes voters turn out: the effects of polls and beliefs

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Abstract: We use laboratory experiments to test for one of the foundations of the rational voter paradigm - that voters respond to probabilities of being pivotal. We exploit a setup that entails stark theoretical effects of information concerning the preference distribution (as revealed through polls) on costly participation decisions. We find that voting propensity increases systematically with subjects' predictions of their preferred alternative's advantage. Consequently, pre-election polls do not exhibit the detrimental welfare effects that extant theoretical work predicts. They lead to more participation by the expected majority and generate more landslide elections

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource, 40 S.
Language
Englisch
Notes
Veröffentlichungsversion
begutachtet

Bibliographic citation
Discussion Papers / Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung, Forschungsschwerpunkt Markt und Entscheidung, Abteilung Verhalten auf Märkten ; Bd. SP II 2016-206

Classification
Politik
Wirtschaft
Keyword
Wahlverhalten
Ökonomische Theorie der Politik
Public-Choice-Theorie
Experimentelle Wirtschaftsforschung

Event
Veröffentlichung
(where)
Mannheim
(who)
SSOAR, GESIS – Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften e.V.
(when)
2016
Event
Veröffentlichung
(where)
Berlin
(who)
Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung gGmbH
(when)
2016
Creator
Contributor
Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung gGmbH

URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2022020211210872833604
Rights
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
25.03.2025, 1:53 PM CET

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Associated

Time of origin

  • 2016

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