Arbeitspapier

Subjective expectations and demand for contraception

One-quarter of married, fertile-age women in Sub-Saharan Africa report not wanting a pregnancy and yet do not use contraceptives. To study this issue, we collect detailed data on women's subjective probabilistic beliefs and estimate a structural model of contraceptive choices. Our results indicate that costly interventions like eliminating supply constraints would only modestly increase contraceptive use. Alternatively, increasing partners' approval of methods, aligning partners' fertility preferences with women's, and correcting women's beliefs about pregnancy risk absent contraception have the potential to increase use considerably. Results from a within-subject experiment testing this last finding are highly consistent with the structural estimates.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IFS Working Paper ; No. W21/23

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Subject
contraception
probabilistic beliefs
Mozambique

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Miller, Grant
Áureo de Paula
Valente, Christine
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)
(where)
London
(when)
2021

DOI
doi:10.1920/wp.ifs.2021.2321
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Miller, Grant
  • Áureo de Paula
  • Valente, Christine
  • Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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