Arbeitspapier
Subjective expectations and demand for contraception
One-quarter of married, fertile-age women in Sub-Saharan Africa report not wanting a pregnancy and yet do not use contraceptives. To study this issue, we collect detailed data on women's subjective probabilistic beliefs and estimate a structural model of contraceptive choices. Our results indicate that costly interventions like eliminating supply constraints would only modestly increase contraceptive use. Alternatively, increasing partners' approval of methods, aligning partners' fertility preferences with women's, and correcting women's beliefs about pregnancy risk absent contraception have the potential to increase use considerably. Results from a within-subject experiment testing this last finding are highly consistent with the structural estimates.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: IFS Working Paper ; No. W21/23
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
- Subject
-
contraception
probabilistic beliefs
Mozambique
- Event
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
-
Miller, Grant
Áureo de Paula
Valente, Christine
- Event
-
Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)
- (where)
-
London
- (when)
-
2021
- DOI
-
doi:10.1920/wp.ifs.2021.2321
- Handle
- Last update
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET
Data provider
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Miller, Grant
- Áureo de Paula
- Valente, Christine
- Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)
Time of origin
- 2021