Arbeitspapier

Government spending volatility and the size of nations

This paper provides empirical evidence showing that smaller countries tend to have more volatile government spending for a sample of 160 countries from 1960 to 2000. We argue that the larger size of a country decreases the volatility of government spending because it acts as an insurance against idiosyncratic shocks, and it leads to increasing returns to scale due to the higher ability of the government to spread its cost of financing over a larger pool of taxpayers. The results are robust to different time and country samples, different econometric techniques and to several sets of control variables. The analysis also evinces that country size is negatively related to the discretionary part of government spending and to the volatilities of most of the government spending items.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 924

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
Structure and Scope of Government: General
Structure and Scope of Government: General
Subject
Country Size
Fiscal Policy
fiscal volatility
government size
JEL: E62
Öffentliche Ausgaben
Volatilität
Finanzpolitik
Landesgröße
Vergleich
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Furceri, Davide
Poplawski Ribeiro, Marcos
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Furceri, Davide
  • Poplawski Ribeiro, Marcos
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2008

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