Arbeitspapier

Government Spending and Durable Goods

This paper shows that the fiscal multiplier for purchases of durable and investment goods is very small - much smaller than the multiplier for nondurable goods. Standard models predict small durables multipliers because private sector purchases of durable goods are highly intertemporally substitutable and therefore easily crowded out. Empirical estimates based on U.S. data confirm this result. In aggregate time series data output rises by about 50 cents less if the government purchases 1$ of durable rather than nondurable goods. At the industry level, spending on durable goods leads to smaller sectoral expansions than spending on nondurable goods. The findings of this paper suggest that infrastructure spending which is frequently part of fiscal stimulus packages is relatively ineffective at raising aggregate demand.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6244

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Fiscal Policy
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Thema
durable goods
fiscal policy
government spending
fiscal multiplier

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Boehm, Christoph E.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2016

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Boehm, Christoph E.
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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