Artikel

A Markov chain model for contagion

We introduce a bivariate Markov chain counting process with contagion for modelling the clustering arrival of loss claims with delayed settlement for an insurance company. It is a general continuous-time model framework that also has the potential to be applicable to modelling the clustering arrival of events, such as jumps, bankruptcies, crises and catastrophes in finance, insurance and economics with both internal contagion risk and external common risk. Key distributional properties, such as the moments and probability generating functions, for this process are derived. Some special cases with explicit results and numerical examples and the motivation for further actuarial applications are also discussed. The model can be considered a generalisation of the dynamic contagion process introduced by Dassios and Zhao (2011).

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Risks ; ISSN: 2227-9091 ; Volume: 2 ; Year: 2014 ; Issue: 4 ; Pages: 434-455 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
risk model
contagion risk
bivariate point process
Markov chain model
discretised dynamic contagion process
dynamic contagion process

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Dassios, Angelos
Zhao, Hongbiao
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2014

DOI
doi:10.3390/risks2040434
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Dassios, Angelos
  • Zhao, Hongbiao
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2014

Other Objects (12)