Arbeitspapier

Interest rate pass-through: A nonlinear vector error-correction approach

This paper analyzes pass-through from money market rates to consumer retail loan and deposit rates in Canada from 1983 to 2015 using a nonlinear vector error-correction model. In contrast to empirical frameworks used in previous studies, this model permits estimation of long-run pass-through coefficients while simultaneously accounting for asymmetric adjustments and short-run dynamics. It also allows testing of commonly made assumptions such as exogeneity of the market rate. I find that pass-through was complete for all rates before the financial crisis although only after the mid 1990s for the 1 year mortgage rate. Since the end of the 2008-09 recession, pass-through remains complete in the mortgage market but has significantly declined for deposit rates. Furthermore, many rates adjust asymmetrically but the direction of rigidity differs among rates and time periods.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Queen's Economics Department Working Paper ; No. 1352

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Monetary Policy
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Subject
Interest rate pass-through
cointegration
asymmetric adjustment
nonlinear vector error-correction model

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Popiel, Michal
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Queen's University, Department of Economics
(where)
Kingston (Ontario)
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Popiel, Michal
  • Queen's University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2015

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