Arbeitspapier

Likelihood-Based Cointegration Analysis in Panels of Vector Error Correction Models

We propose in this paper a likelihood-based framework forcointegration analysis in panels of a fixed number of vector errorcorrection models. Maximum likelihood estimators of thecointegrating vectors are constructed using iterated GeneralizedMethod of Moments estimators. Using these estimators we constructlikelihood ratio statistics to test for a common cointegrationrank across the individual vector error correction models, bothwith heterogeneous and homogeneous cointegrating vectors. Thecorresponding limiting distributions are a summation of thelimiting behavior of Johansen (1991) trace statistics. We alsoincorporate both unrestricted and restricted deterministiccomponents which are either homogeneous or heterogeneous. Theproposed framework is applied on a data set of exchange rates andappropriate monetary fundamentals. The test results show strongevidence for the validity of the monetary exchange rate modelwithin a panel of vector error correction models for three majorEuropean countries, whereas the results based on individual vectorerror correction models for each of these countries separately areless supportive.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 99-055/4

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Kointegration
Schätzung
Wechselkurs
EU-Staaten
Fehlerkorrekturmodell
Momentenmethode

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Groen, Jan J.J.
Kleibergen, Frank R.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Tinbergen Institute
(wo)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(wann)
1999

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Groen, Jan J.J.
  • Kleibergen, Frank R.
  • Tinbergen Institute

Entstanden

  • 1999

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