Arbeitspapier

Global financial transmission of monetary policy shocks

The paper shows that US monetary policy has been an important determinant of global equity markets. Analysing 50 equity markets worldwide, we find that returns fall on average around 3.8% in response to a 100 basis point tightening of US monetary policy, ranging from a zero response in some to a reaction of 10% or more in other countries, as well as significant cross-sector heterogeneity. Distinguishing different transmission channels, we find that in particular the transmission via US and foreign short-term interest rates and the exchange rate play an important role. As to the determinants of the strength of transmission to individual countries, we test the relevance of their macroeconomic policies and the degree of real and financial integration, thus linking the strength of asset price transmission to underlying trade and asset holdings, and find that in particular the degree of global integration of countries – and not a country’s bilateral integration with the United States – is a key determinant for the transmission process.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 616

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
International Finance: General
International Financial Markets
Subject
advanced economies
emerging market economies
financial integration
global financial markets
monetary policy
transmission
United States
Internationaler Finanzmarkt
Globalisierung
Geldpolitik
Geldpolitische Transmission
International
Zinsderivat
Wechselkurspolitik
USA
Industrieländer
Schwellenländer

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ehrmann, Michael
Fratzscher, Marcel
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ehrmann, Michael
  • Fratzscher, Marcel
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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