Arbeitspapier

Taking stock: monetary policy transmission to equity markets

This paper analyses the effects of US monetary policy on stock markets. We find that, on average, a tightening of 50 basis points reduces returns by about 3%. Moreover, returns react more strongly when no change had been expected, when there is a directional change in the monetary policy stance and during periods of high market uncertainty. We show that individual stocks react in a highly heterogeneous fashion and relate this heterogeneity to financial constraints and Tobin's q. First, we show that there are strong industry-specific effects of US monetary policy. Second, we find that for the individual stocks comprising the S&P500 those with low cashflows, small size, poor credit ratings, low debt to capital ratios, high price-earnings ratios or high Tobin's q are affected significantly more. The use of propensity score matching allows us to distinguish between firmand industry-specific effects, and confirms that both play an important role.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 354

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Thema
credit channel
financial constraints
monetary policy
propensity score matching
S&P500
stock market
Tobin’s q

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Ehrmann, Michael
Fratzscher, Marcel
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2004

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Ehrmann, Michael
  • Fratzscher, Marcel
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Entstanden

  • 2004

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