Arbeitspapier
The trade-off between fertility and education: evidence from before the demographic transition
The trade-off between child quantity and education is a crucial ingredient of unified growth models that explain the transition from Malthusian stagnation to modern growth. We present first evidence that such a trade-off indeed existed before the demographic transition, exploiting a unique census-based dataset of 334 Prussian counties in 1849. Estimating two separate instrumental-variable models that instrument education by landownership inequality and distance to Wittenberg and fertility by previous-generation fertility and sex-imbalance ratio, we find that causation between fertility and education runs both ways. Furthermore, education in 1849 predicts the fertility transition in 1880-1905.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 4557
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Education and Research Institutions: General
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Economic History: Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy: Europe: Pre-1913
- Thema
-
Schooling
fertility transition
unified growth theory
19th-century Prussia
Fruchtbarkeit
Bildungsverhalten
Allgemeinbildende Schule
Bildungsinvestition
Wachstumstheorie
Demographischer Übergang
Preußen
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Becker, Sascha O.
Cinnirella, Francesco
Woessmann, Ludger
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
- (wo)
-
Bonn
- (wann)
-
2009
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Becker, Sascha O.
- Cinnirella, Francesco
- Woessmann, Ludger
- Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
Entstanden
- 2009