Arbeitspapier

The Economics of the Phillips Curve: Formation of Inflation Expectations versus Incorporation of Inflation Expectations

This paper examines the theory of the Phillips curve, focusing on the distinction between "formation" of inflation expectations and "incorporation" of inflation expectations. Phillips curve theory has largely focused on the former. Explaining the Phillips curve by reference to expectation formation keeps Phillips curve theory in the policy orbit of natural rate thinking where there is no welfare justification for higher inflation even if there is a permanent inflation - unemployment trade-off. Explaining the Phillips curve by reference to incorporation of inflation expectations breaks that orbit and provides a welfare economics rationale for Keynesian activist policies that reduce unemployment at the cost of higher inflation.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IMK Working Paper ; No. 4/2011

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics: General
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
Thema
Phillips curve
formation of inflation expectations
incorporation of inflation expectations
backward bending Phillips curve.
Phillips-Kurve
Inflationserwartung
Keynesianismus
Theorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Palley, Thomas I.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)
(wo)
Düsseldorf
(wann)
2011

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-201202285186
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Palley, Thomas I.
  • Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)

Entstanden

  • 2011

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