Arbeitspapier

Effects of Inflation Expectations on Inflation

We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations have a significantly positive effect on inflation. We also find that the effect of inflation expectations on inflation is larger when inflation is higher. This suggests that second-round effects via the effects of higher inflation expectations on inflation are more relevant in a high-inflation environment.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9467

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
inflation
inflation expectations
Phillips curve

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Moessner, Richhild
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Moessner, Richhild
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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