Arbeitspapier

Technology adoption in markets with network effects: Theory and experimental evidence

We examine a technology adoption game with network effects in which coordination on technology A and technology B constitute a Nash equilibrium. Coordination on technology B is assumed to be payoff-dominant. We define a technology's critical mass as the minimum share of users necessary to make the choice of this technology a best response for any remaining user. We show that the technology with a lower critical mass is risk-dominant and is chosen by the maximin criterion. We present experimental evidence that both pay-off dominance and risk dominance explain participants' choices. The relative riskiness of a technology can be proxied using technologies' critical masses or stand-alone values.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DICE Discussion Paper ; No. 33

Classification
Wirtschaft
Noncooperative Games
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Subject
Network Effects
Critical Mass
Coordination
Riskiness

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Keser, Claudia
Suleymanova, Irina
Wey, Christian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE)
(where)
Düsseldorf
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Keser, Claudia
  • Suleymanova, Irina
  • Wey, Christian
  • Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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