Arbeitspapier

The evolution of inflation and unemployment: Explaining the roaring nineties

This paper argues that there is a nonzero inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the long-run due to frictional growth, a phenomenon that encapsulates the interplay of nominal staggering and money growth. The existence of a downward-sloping long-run Phillips curve suggests the development of a holistic framework that can jointly explain the evolution of inflation and unemployment. Hence, we estimate an interactive dynamics model for the US that includes wage-price setting and labour market equations. We then evaluate the inflation-unemployment tradeoff and assess the impact of productivity, money growth, budget deficit, and trade deficit on the unemployment and inflation trajectories during the nineties.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1350

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Fiscal Policy
Thema
Unemployment dynamics
Phillips curve
Roaring nineties
Inflation dynamics
Phillips-Kurve
New-Keynesian Phillips Curve
Theorie der Arbeitslosigkeit
Wirtschaftswachstum
Schätzung
USA

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Karanassou, Marika
Sala, Héctor
Snower, Dennis J.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2007

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Karanassou, Marika
  • Sala, Héctor
  • Snower, Dennis J.
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2007

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