Arbeitspapier

Escaping the unemployment trap: The case of East Germany

This paper addresses the question of why prolonged regional unemployment differentials tend to persist even after their proximate causes have been reversed (e.g., after wages in the highunemployment regions have fallen relative to those in the low-unemployment regions). We suggest that the longer people are unemployed, the greater is the likelihood of falling into a low-productivity "trap", through the attrition of skills and work habits. We develop and calibrate a model along these lines for East Germany and examine the effectiveness of three employment policies in this context: (i) a weakening of workers' position in wage negotiations due to a drop in the replacement rate or firing costs, leading to a fall in wages, (ii) hiring subsidies, and (iii) training subsidies. We show that the employment effects of these policies depend crucially on whether low-productivity traps are present.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1309

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General
Thema
labor market traps
calibration
East Germany
labor markets
Langzeitarbeitslosigkeit
Arbeitsproduktivität
Qualifikation
Arbeitsmarktpolitik
Kündigungsschutz
Reform
Lohnsubvention
Berufsbildungspolitik
Wirtschaftspolitische Wirkungsanalyse
Schätzung
Neue Bundesländer

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Merkl, Christian
Snower, Dennis J.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2007

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Merkl, Christian
  • Snower, Dennis J.
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2007

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