Arbeitspapier

A comparison of estimation methods for dynamic factor models of large dimensions

The estimation of dynamic factor models for large sets of variables has attracted considerable attention recently, due to the increased availability of large datasets. In this paper we propose a new methodology for estimating factors from large datasets based on state space models, discuss its theoretical properties and compare its performance with that of two alternative estimation approaches based, respectively, on static and dynamic principal components. The new method appears to perform best in recovering the factors in a set of simulation experiments, with static principal components a close second best. Dynamic principal components appear to yield the best fit, but sometimes there are leakages across the common and idiosyncratic components of the series. A similar pattern emerges in an empirical application with a large dataset of US macroeconomic time series.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 489

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Construction and Estimation
Monetary Policy
Thema
Factor models, Principal components, Subspace algorithms
Faktorenanalyse
Schätztheorie
Zustandsraummodell

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kapetanios, George
Marcellino, Massimiliano
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics
(wo)
London
(wann)
2003

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Kapetanios, George
  • Marcellino, Massimiliano
  • Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2003

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