Arbeitspapier

The inflationary consequences or real exchange rate targeting via accumulation of reserves

The paper investigates the ability of monetary authorities to keep the real exchange rate undervalued over the long run by implementing a policy of accumulating foreign exchange reserves.We consider a model of a three-sector, small, open economy, where the central bank continuously purchases foreign currency reserves and compare them to Russian and Chinese economies in recent years.Both countries appear to pursue reserve accumulation policies.We find a clear trade-off between the steady state levels of the real exchange rate and inflation.After calibration, the model predicts an 8.5% real undervaluation of the Russian currency and a 13.7% undervaluation of the Chinese currency.Predicted inflation is found to match observed levels.

ISBN
952-462-830-9
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: BOFIT Discussion Papers ; No. 11/2006

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Subject
Real exchange rate targeting
foreign exchange reserves
Dutch disease

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Sosunov, Kirill
Zamulin, Oleg
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Sosunov, Kirill
  • Zamulin, Oleg
  • Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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