The economic consequences of Euro-area macro-modelling shortcuts

Abstract: Should euro-area economies be modelled in an aggregate (area-wide) fashion or in a disaggregate (multi-country) one? This paper tackles that question from both a statistical and an economic viewpoint. From a statistical viewpoint, aggregation bias criteria are found to signal that the degree of structural heterogeneity among euro-area economies is such that the loss of information entailed by an aggregate modelling approach may be far from trifling. From an economic viewpoint, we investigate the following issue: Are those statistically detectable heterogeneities of any practical relevance when it comes to supporting monetary policy decision-making? To provide an answer to this question, we compute simple optimal monetary policy reaction functions on the basis of either an aggregate model or a disaggregate one, and compare the associated welfare losses. The results suggest that the welfare under-performance of an area-wide-model-based rule is not only non negligible, but also robust

Standort
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Umfang
Online-Ressource
Sprache
Englisch
Anmerkungen
Postprint
begutachtet (peer reviewed)
In: Applied Economics ; 42 (2008) 19 ; 2399-2415

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft

Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wo)
Mannheim
(wann)
2008
Urheber
Monteforte, Libero
Siviero, Stefano

DOI
10.1080/00036840701858075
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-242456
Rechteinformation
Open Access unbekannt; Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Letzte Aktualisierung
25.03.2025, 13:46 MEZ

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Beteiligte

  • Monteforte, Libero
  • Siviero, Stefano

Entstanden

  • 2008

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