Markov-switching models, rational expectations and the term structure of interest rates

Abstract: In order to evaluate the efficiency of the monetary transmission mechanism, we develop the formulas for testing rational expectations theory in the term structure of interest rates with VAR models of stochastically switching regimes in which all the parameters are regime-dependent. These formulas are obtained for the strict version of rational expectations as well as for the case where measurement errors are assumed in the expectations relationship. They are extensible to other contexts that involve variables linked by rational-expectations behaviors. The testing procedure is implemented on interest rates of the Spanish inter-bank money market. Measurement errors must be assumed to find signs favourable to the theory

Standort
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Umfang
Online-Ressource
Sprache
Englisch
Anmerkungen
Postprint
begutachtet (peer reviewed)
In: Applied Economics ; 41 (2009) 3 ; 399-412

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft

Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wo)
Mannheim
(wann)
2009
Urheber
Beyaert, Arielle P.
Pérez-Castejón, Juan José

DOI
10.1080/00036840601007195
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-239836
Rechteinformation
Open Access unbekannt; Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Letzte Aktualisierung
25.03.2025, 13:55 MEZ

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Beteiligte

  • Beyaert, Arielle P.
  • Pérez-Castejón, Juan José

Entstanden

  • 2009

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