Arbeitspapier

Credibility of EMS interest rate policies: a Markov regime-switching approach

The primary objective of this paper is to use the Markov regime-switching modeling framework to study the credibility of monetary policy in five member countries of the European Monetary System (EMS) during the period 1979 to 1998. The five countries examined for this purpose are Austria, Belgium, France, Italy, and the Netherlands. The major innovation of this paper is the use of a Markov regime-switching model with time-varying transition probabilities. The output-gap variability and the inflation variability variables are incorporated into the determination of the monetary policy preferences of individual member countries of the EMS. Empirical evidence is provided to show that although all the countries in our sample followed a credible monetary policy regarding price stability, they had different preferences regarding the trade-off between the stabilization of output-gap variability and inflation variability.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 361

Classification
Wirtschaft

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Arestis, Philip
Mouratidis, Kostas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
(where)
Annandale-on-Hudson, NY
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Arestis, Philip
  • Mouratidis, Kostas
  • Levy Economics Institute of Bard College

Time of origin

  • 2002

Other Objects (12)