Arbeitspapier
What a Difference Kyoto Made: Evidence from Instrumental Variables Estimation
The Kyoto Protocols success or failure should be evaluated against the unobserved counterfactual of no treatment. This requires instrumental variables. We find that countries membership in the International Criminal Court (ICC) predicts Kyoto ratification in a panel model. Both multilateral policy initiatives triggered concerns about national sovereignty in many countries. We argue that ICC membership can be excluded from second-stage regressions explaining emissions and other outcomes. This is supported by first-stage diagnostics. Our results suggest that Kyoto had measurable beneficial effects on the average Kyoto countrys energy mix, fuel prices, energy use and emissions, but may have speeded up deindustrialization.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: ifo Working Paper ; No. 102
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models: Single Variables: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
Energy: Government Policy
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
- Thema
-
CO2 emissions
energy
evaluation model
instrumental variables
Kyoto Protocol
Klimaschutz
Umweltabkommen
Internationale Gerichtsbarkeit
Mitgliedschaft
Wirkungsanalyse
Umweltverträgliche Energiepolitik
Schätzung
Welt
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Aichele, Rahel
Felbermayr, Gabriel
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
- (wo)
-
Munich
- (wann)
-
2011
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Aichele, Rahel
- Felbermayr, Gabriel
- ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
Entstanden
- 2011