Arbeitspapier

Testing for neglected nonlinearity in long memory models

This paper constructs tests for the presence of nonlinearity of unknown form in addition to a fractionally integrated, long memory component in a time series process. The tests are based on artificial neural network structures and do not restrict the parametric form of the nonlinearity. The tests only require a consistent estimate of the long memory parameter. Some theoretical results for the new tests are obtained and detailed simulation evidence is also presented on the power of the tests. The new methodology is then applied to a wide variety of economic and financial time series.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 528

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Hypothesis Testing: General
Foreign Exchange
Subject
Long memory, Non-linearity, Artificial neural networks, Realized volatility, Absolute returns, Real exchange rates, Unemployment
Neuronale Netze
Zeitreihenanalyse
Nichtlineares Verfahren

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Baillie, Richard
Kapetanios, George
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics
(where)
London
(when)
2005

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Baillie, Richard
  • Kapetanios, George
  • Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2005

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