Get Training or Wait? Long-Run Employment Effects of Training Programs for the Unemployed in West Germany

Arbeitspapier

Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the long-run differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 06-039

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General ; Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: Public Policy ; Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate
• Subject: multiple treatments ; training programs ; employment effects ; local linear matching ; administrative data ; active labor market programs ; Arbeitsmarktpolitik ; Weiterbildung ; Wirtschaftspolitische Wirkungsanalyse ; Arbeitslosigkeit ; Berufliche Integration ; Schätzung ; Deutschland

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Osikominu, Aderonke ; Fitzenberger, Bernd ; Völter, Robert
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
• (where): Mannheim
• (when): 2006

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/24231
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET