Arbeitspapier

Adverse Effects of Ultra-Loose Monetary Policies on Investment, Growth and Income Distribution

The paper analyses adverse investment, growth and distributional effects of ultra-loose monetary policies based on the monetary overinvestment theories of Hayek and Mises. We argue that ultra-loose monetary policies create incentives to substitute real investment by financial investment. When interest rates are expected to fall in the long term, the marginal and average efficiency of investments fall along, dampening GDP growth. We further show that the prolonged period of very low interest rates tends to distribute income towards higher income classes. This helps explain why consumer price inflation in most advanced economies does not pick up despite unprecedented monetary expansions.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5754

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
International Policy Coordination and Transmission
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Subject
Hayek
Mises
monetary overinvestment theory
asymmetric monetary policy
financial crisis
marginal productivity of investment
secular stagnation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hoffmann, Andreas
Schnabl, Gunther
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hoffmann, Andreas
  • Schnabl, Gunther
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2016

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