Arbeitspapier
Ultra-low interest rates, overinvestment, and growth in emerging East Asia
The paper explores business cycles and growth dynamics in emerging East Asia within an ultra-low interest rate environment from the perspective of the monetary overinvestment theories of Mises and Hayek. It argues that, given a low interest rate environment in the large industrialized countries, the likelihood of overinvestment and therefore a crisis in emerging East Asia has increased independently from the exchange rate regime. Overinvestment can take the form of unsustainable booms on stock and real estate markets (as in Southeast Asia prior to the Asian crisis) or the misallocation of funds due to subsidized state-directed capital allocation (as is currently occurring in the People's Republic of China). If further credit expansion counteracts a crisis triggered by a preceding overinvestment boom, it paralyzes growth in the long term, as Japan experienced.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: ADBI Working Paper ; No. 706
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Foreign Exchange
- Thema
-
Economics
Finance sector development
China, People's Republic of
Indonesia
Japan
Korea, Republic of
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Schnabl, Gunther
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)
- (wo)
-
Tokyo
- (wann)
-
2017
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:46 MEZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Schnabl, Gunther
- Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)
Entstanden
- 2017
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