Assessing French inflation persistence with impulse saturation break tests and automatic general-to-specific modelling

Abstract: This paper has three different motivations. Firstly, we wish to contribute to the debate on whether French inflation has been persistent since the mid-eighties. Empirical evidence in this domain has been mixed. We use the standard method of testing for breaks in the mean of the inflation series to conclude whether possible unit root findings are the result of neglected breaks. Then, we build standard autoregressive representations of inflation, using an automatic general-to-specific approach. We conclude against inflation persistence in the sample period, and the point estimates of persistence we obtain are several percentage points below those achieved with other break tests and model selection methods. Moreover, our final model is congruent. Secondly, we provide the first empirical application of the new impulse saturation break test. The resulting estimates of the break dates are in line with other literature findings and have a sound economic meaning, confirming the good perfor

Standort
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Umfang
Online-Ressource
Sprache
Englisch
Anmerkungen
Postprint
begutachtet (peer reviewed)
In: Applied Economics ; 42 (2010) 12 ; 1577-1589

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft

Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wo)
Mannheim
(wann)
2010
Urheber
Santos, Carlos
Oliveira, Maria Alberta

DOI
10.1080/00036840701721521
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-251124
Rechteinformation
Open Access unbekannt; Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Letzte Aktualisierung
25.03.2025, 13:46 MEZ

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Beteiligte

  • Santos, Carlos
  • Oliveira, Maria Alberta

Entstanden

  • 2010

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