Arbeitspapier
Economic Costs of Friend-Shoring
Geo-political tensions and disruptions to global value chains have led policy makers to re-evaluate their approach to globalisation. Many countries are considering friend-shoring – trading primarily with countries sharing similar values – as a way of minimising exposure to weaponisation of trade and securing access to critical inputs. If followed through, this process has the potential to reverse global economic integration of recent decades. This paper estimates the economic costs of friend-shoring using a quantitative model incorporating inter-country inter-industry linkages. The results suggest that friend-shoring may lead to real GDP losses of up to 4.7% of GDP in some economies. Thus, although friend-shoring may provide insurance against extreme disruptions and increase the security of supply of vital inputs, it would come at a substantial cost.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10869
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Economic Integration
International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
Economic Impacts of Globalization: General
General Regional Economics: Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Models
- Thema
-
friend-shoring
regionalisation
global trade and production network
international I-O linkages
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Javorcik, Beata S.
Kitzmüller, Lucas
Schweiger, Helena
Yildirim, Muhammed A.
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (wo)
-
Munich
- (wann)
-
2023
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Javorcik, Beata S.
- Kitzmüller, Lucas
- Schweiger, Helena
- Yildirim, Muhammed A.
- Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
Entstanden
- 2023
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