Artikel

Consciously uncertain: A Bayesian analysis of preferences formation

We investigate experimentally whether players deliberately use irrelevant market cues to shape their evaluations of a traded item. We implement a repeated Vickrey median price selling auction of an unusual bad where players are informed on the market price and on the three lowest or highest asks. We elicited players' consideration of market signals through a questionnaire at the end of the auction. We find that extreme information has a stronger influence on players' evaluations than the market price. However, players' consideration of the market signals explains their behavioral reactivity to the market price but not to the extremes. Hence, players deliberately use an unbiased estimator of the central tendency of the appraisals distribution, while extreme asks' influence is consistent with a priming effect.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Games ; ISSN: 2073-4336 ; Volume: 13 ; Year: 2022 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 1-20 ; Basel: MDPI

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Group Behavior
Auctions
Thema
bayesian methods
irrelevant market signals
shaping effect
subjects' consideration

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Stimolo, Marco
Beraldo, Sergio
Capasso, Salvatore
Filoso, Valerio
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
MDPI
(wo)
Basel
(wann)
2022

DOI
doi:10.3390/g13010014
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Stimolo, Marco
  • Beraldo, Sergio
  • Capasso, Salvatore
  • Filoso, Valerio
  • MDPI

Entstanden

  • 2022

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