Arbeitspapier

Political electoral cycles and public investments in Brazil

This paper provides new evidence for the empirical literature that investigates the presence of political cycles in fiscal policy and, more precisely, public investments in Brazil. The approach differs from most of the studies for applying the state-space modeling. The greatest benefit is to estimate the cyclical component endogenously and with greater precision. Another difference is that it considers the presence of cycles in central, state and local investments and central government capital transfers. This allows a wider picture of the general government and intergovernmental relationships. The main contributions come from the identification of qualitative differences among the political cycles of each government level - pointing to a smaller degree of direct influence of local elections as it goes from local to state and central levels - and a close relation between cycles of central government transfers and cycles of state and local governments.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Paper ; No. 202

Classification
Wirtschaft
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Other
Fiscal Policy
National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures; Other Public Investment and Capital Stock
State and Local Government: Other Expenditure Categories
Intergovernmental Relations; Federalism; Secession
Subject
political cycles
public investment
space state models

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Orair, Rodrigo Octávio
Gouvêa, Raphael Rocha
Leal, Ésio Moreira
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for Applied Economic Research (ipea)
(where)
Brasília
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Orair, Rodrigo Octávio
  • Gouvêa, Raphael Rocha
  • Leal, Ésio Moreira
  • Institute for Applied Economic Research (ipea)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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