Arbeitspapier

Democratic transition, The: a study of the causality between income and the Gastil democracy index

The paper considers the transformation of the political system as countries pass through the Grand Transition from a poor developing country to a wealthy developed country. In the process most countries change from an authoritarian to a democratic political system. This is shown by using the Gastil democracy index from Freedom House. First, the basic pattern of correlations reveals that a good deal of the short- to medium-run causality appears to be from democracy to income. Then a set of extreme biogeographic instruments is used to demonstrate that the long-run causality is from income to democracy. The long-run result survives various robustness tests. We show how the Grand Transition view resolves the seeming contradiction between the long-run and the short- to medium-run effects.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1459

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
History of Economic Thought since 1925: Historical; Institutional; Evolutionary; Austrian; Stockholm School
Thema
Paths of development
democracy
biogeography
Demokratisierung
Entwicklungsstufe
Sozialprodukt
Schätzung
Welt

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Paldam, Martin
Gundlach, Erich
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2008

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Paldam, Martin
  • Gundlach, Erich
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2008

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