Arbeitspapier
The agricultural and the democratic transitions: causality and the roundup model
Long-run development (in income) causes a large fall in the share of agriculture commonly known as the agricultural transition. We confirm that this conventional wisdom is strongly supported by the data. Long-run development (in income) also causes a large increase in democracy known as the democratic transition. Elsewhere we have shown that it is almost as strong as the agricultural transition. Recently, a method has been presented to weed out spuriousness. It makes the democratic transition go away by turning income insignificant, when it is supplemented by a set of formal controls. We show that the same method makes the agricultural transition go away as well. Hence, it seems to be a method that kills far too much, as suggested by the subtitle. This suggestion leads to a discussion of the very meaning of long-run causality.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1521
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
- Thema
-
Long-run growth
transitions
causality and spuriousness
Entwicklung
Wirtschaftswachstum
Drei-Sektoren-Hypothese
Demokratie
Kausalanalyse
Welt
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Gundlach, Erich
Paldam, Martin
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
- (wo)
-
Kiel
- (wann)
-
2009
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Gundlach, Erich
- Paldam, Martin
- Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
Entstanden
- 2009
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