Arbeitspapier

Modest policy interventions

This paper brings together identification and forecasting in a positive econometric analysis of policy. We contend that a broad range of important policy questions is consistent with the existing policy process and is not subject to Lucas's critique. We analyze the economics of "business as usual" and show that modest policy interventions, whose effects can be projected even if expectations are modeled as depending solely on past policy, can address routine questions like those raised at regular policy meetings. And modest interventions matter: they can shift the projected paths and probability distributions of macro variables in economically meaningful ways.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 99-22

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Monetary policy
Forecasting
Vector autoregression
Econometrics

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Leeper, Eric M.
Zha, Tao
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
(wo)
Atlanta, GA
(wann)
1999

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Leeper, Eric M.
  • Zha, Tao
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Entstanden

  • 1999

Ähnliche Objekte (12)