Arbeitspapier

Conditions for effective macroprudential policy interventions

This paper aims at identifying effective macroprudential policy (MPP) interventions and analysing the macroeconomic conditions that promote them. We define effective MPP interventions as those that stabilize its underlying target variable, such as credit growth, house price growth, etc. For our analysis, we construct a new database that documents the use of a large number of MPP instruments for 61 advanced and emerging market economies from 2000 to 2016. The new feature of the database is that it maps every recorded MPP intervention in these economies and over this period to stabilize a specific target variable category for banking, health, domestic loans, the exchange rate, foreign capital movements, and house prices. Using this dataset, we introduce a practical way for defining the macroprudential policy effectiveness. We find that MPP interventions are more likely to be effective when several prudential measures are taken together, but at the same time avoid the diminishing returns of repeated MPP tightening. Monetary tightening seems to override the effectiveness of MPP instruments. The output gap, credit cycle, external debt, current account, and global risk appetite also count for the likelihood of MPP successes. The paper provides a guideline for the effective conduct of MPPs.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ADB Economics Working Paper Series ; No. 609

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Central Banks and Their Policies
International Financial Markets
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
Thema
effectiveness
financial stability
macroprudential policy
probabilistic analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Khan, Fahad
Ramayandi, Arief
Schröder, Marcel
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Asian Development Bank (ADB)
(wo)
Manila
(wann)
2020

DOI
doi:10.22617/WPS200066-2
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:24 MESZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Khan, Fahad
  • Ramayandi, Arief
  • Schröder, Marcel
  • Asian Development Bank (ADB)

Entstanden

  • 2020

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