Arbeitspapier

Change in Regime and Markov Models

In this paper we point out that using a two-state Markov chain to describe change in regime makes it difficult to interpret the model since there is a bias towards frequent shifts. However, by using a finite Markov chain with a transition matrix satisfying certain restrictions it is possible to circumvent the difficulty and at the same time use the established procedures for estimation and filtering. The methods are applied to a couple of time series from the Norwegian quarterly national accounts.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 204

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Thema
Change in regime
Markov-switching models
alternating renewal processes

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Swensen, Anders Rygh
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Statistics Norway, Research Department
(wo)
Oslo
(wann)
1997

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Swensen, Anders Rygh
  • Statistics Norway, Research Department

Entstanden

  • 1997

Ähnliche Objekte (12)