Arbeitspapier
Change in Regime and Markov Models
In this paper we point out that using a two-state Markov chain to describe change in regime makes it difficult to interpret the model since there is a bias towards frequent shifts. However, by using a finite Markov chain with a transition matrix satisfying certain restrictions it is possible to circumvent the difficulty and at the same time use the established procedures for estimation and filtering. The methods are applied to a couple of time series from the Norwegian quarterly national accounts.
- Language
-
Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
-
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 204
- Classification
-
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- Subject
-
Change in regime
Markov-switching models
alternating renewal processes
- Event
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
-
Swensen, Anders Rygh
- Event
-
Veröffentlichung
- (who)
-
Statistics Norway, Research Department
- (where)
-
Oslo
- (when)
-
1997
- Handle
- Last update
-
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET
Data provider
This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Swensen, Anders Rygh
- Statistics Norway, Research Department
Time of origin
- 1997
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