Arbeitspapier

Strategic abuse and accuser credibility

We study the interaction between a potential offender's (principal ) incentive to commit crimes and the potential victims' (agents) incentive to report crime. The probability of crime and the credibility of reports are endogenously determined in equilibrium, and the principal is convicted if found sufficiently likely of having committed crime by a Bayesian judge. We show that when the punishment in case of a conviction is sufficiently large, the principal's decisions to commit crimes are strategic substitutes, while the agents' decisions to report crime are strategic complements. The tension between agents' coordination motive and the negative correlation of their private information causes their reports to become arbitrarily uninformative in equilibrium and lead to a significant probability of crime. The occurrence of crime and lack of report credibility can be mitigated by reducing the punishment to a convicted principal or by rewarding lone accusers.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CSIO Working Paper ; No. 0145

Classification
Wirtschaft
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
Subject
communication informativeness
coordination
negative correlation
information aggregation
law enforcement

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Di Pei, Harry
Strulovici, Bruno
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Northwestern University, Center for the Study of Industrial Organization (CSIO)
(where)
Evanston, IL
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Di Pei, Harry
  • Strulovici, Bruno
  • Northwestern University, Center for the Study of Industrial Organization (CSIO)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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